Lessons learned from the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War

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Alaskajohn

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The First War Won Primarily with Unmanned Systems

Like most, I tried to closely follow this war from afar last year with some bewilderment. While it was in process, it was hard to ascertain what was really happening. The quick and decisive victory by Azerbaijan, when Armenia so decisively won the previous war just a few decades ago, and that they held some traditional military advantages, was impressive.

For us survivalist, there are some lessons and key takeaways. The concept of masking, verses how we traditionally understand cover and concealment, needs to be considered. Also, the importance of understanding IO and how it can shape our response, needs to be evaluated. This battle also showed how unmanned combat projection platforms dominated the decisive battles leaving the Armenian forces completely demoralized.

While article was written from the military perspective, I was impressed by how this applies to survivalist activities.

From the article:

The Second Nagorno-Karabakh War was fought between Armenia and Azerbaijan from September 24 to November 10, 2020. This 44-day war resulted in a decisive military victory for Azerbaijan. Armenia was out-fought, out-numbered, and out-spent and lost even though they controlled the high-ground in a mountainous region that favored traditional defense. Azerbaijan’s alliance with Turkey, and close technological support from Israel, strategically isolated Armenia. In addition, Turkey’s posturing influenced the Russians not to intervene to support Armenia. That Azerbaijan attacked Armenia during the pandemic was an additional factor. The fact that Azerbaijan won the war is not extraordinary, considering the correlation of forces arrayed against Armenia. What is exceptional is that this was the first modern war primarily decided by unmanned weapons. In this war the Turkish-made BAYRAKTAR TB2 Unmanned Air Combat Vehicle (UCAV) and the Israeli-made HAROP Loitering Munition (LM) dominated the fighting and provided Azerbaijan with a war-winning advantage. Here are ten lessons derived from a deep study of the open-source information about the conflict.
 
The drones will be operating at elevations you won‘t reach and hear, and will have advanced infrared technology that will see through your house and other hiding places. Plus they can reach out and kill you under armor.

If Azerbaijan has this technology, what do you think we have?
 
IR cameras can't see through glass. Active is worse than passive but neither penetrates glass. Water works almost as well.
A good UV laser can take out a drone at 50 miles or more depending on the output.
A drone can be heard with the proper gear and it can be seen with radar (passive or active), UV, IR and visible light. Radio jamming can cause them problems. They are very light weight aircraft and are easily damaged with impacts.
Hobby drones don't go fast enough to catch a military drone but a model radio controlled airplane using CB frequencies has a range of 5 miles or so and can attain speeds that are appropriate. The model can be equipped with a 12 ga. shotgun to separate the lift or control surfaces.

There are a lot of weaknesses in the above but I am pointing out that you can defend against nearly anything if you put your mind to it. I should also point out that there are things that your only defense is being mobile.
 
I'm talking about low tech like a neighbor would buy.;)

Those hobby drone are indeed a nuisance, can invade our privacy, can place aviation at risk, and can be dealt with like your picture suggests! I got a good chuckle as you intended from your post! 😊

While others (not up you Meerkat!) have discounted this risk, the threat is real. Learn about IO (a bunch of Hamas thugs just died in tunnels in the Gaza from well played IO), and learn about masking. The pandemic exposed the prepper community as being easily manipulated by IO, and there is anti-masking technology that someone interested in survival should consider.

There are other lessons from this conflict as well as discussed in my linked article.

While not exactly the technology I was speaking of, it’s is certainly related when thinking about what is available to those who might wish to do us harm.

Cool video of military night-vision goggles…
 
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