Mother Nature always has the upper hand, no matter how much you prep! While I plan to stay in place no matter what, I do have a bug out plan in case it is required. Also, in a SHTF situation, there may be people with all their cool guy gadgets trying to get a fire started and not knowing what to do.
While living in Alaska I took a trip to the North Slope and was well prepared, I just didn't expect to have to use it all! I went through 2 spare tires, my tire repair kit, half my first aid kit, spent 2 more nights out then my plan, 2 of my Bic lighters bit the dust, my fire striker broke, and used more duct tape then I thought possible! And I never even left the road in my truck!
As far as where this thread shifted to, Negan is a bully in charge of those who use the bully's strength as their own, Take out Negan and they will fall apart, but what do I know.