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- Dec 3, 2017
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If you are living in a city or even a big town, and if you think that a major infrastructure collapse is imminent, and if you believe that this collapse will be permanent, then you are probably be faced with a choice of either attempting to shelter permanently in place or to bug out. Either way, IMNHO, the chances are better than even that you will die.
Cheerful thought, isn't it?
But think about it. If you shelter in place, sooner or later you will run out of food/water/medicines. Absent the rule of law, you will be forced to (1) beg from others, who probably won't give you doodly-squat; or (2) attempt to take if from someone else by force. Unless you can outnumber the defensive position person by about three to one, you will probably be killed.
If you bug out, you will be leaving the area you're familiar with, leaving much of your supplies behind and trying to survive while competing against other people who are already where you will be, who undoubtedly know the place better than you and are near their own supplies, e.g., farmers who aren't interested in sharing or sitting back and let you walk in and take their food; indeed, they will probably see you coming before you see them and you will probably be killed.
"But wait!" you might say. "I have my AR and my Ka-bar and loads of ammunition and I know woodcraft and can live off dead squirrels and dried hazelnuts!" Uhhh... no. Even if you are the one-tenth of one percent of the bugger-outers who could actually live off the land for an extended period of time (and no, I do not mean a weekend hunting trip with a cell phone and Google Maps to the nearest Starbucks), there are going to be a bazillion other panicky people who, having driven off every deer, elk and bunny-rabbit to northern Saskatchewan, will shoot everything that moves, including you (and your family).
Remember, if you bug out and don't have a place to go, you're not a prepper or a survivalist. You're a refugee. And even if you do have a hidey-hole complete with a working well, garden, pen full of animals, medical supplies, and a deck of playing cards ... someone else might get there first!
And we're not even talking about running out of gas to get there when your bug-out vehicle is screaming down the road a four miles per hour with every other individual instant refugee.
Colleagues, it's not my intention to urinate in your breakfast cereal, but have you really thought about how you would survive if you were forced to find a place that wasn't really there or to think you could grow old and raise your grandchildren in a three-bedroom, two-bath suburban house?
If you have a self-sufficient homestead now (available water, garden, critters, privacy, security) that you are living in now, I think your chances for pulling through a major and permanent infrastructure collapse are pretty good.
If not, don't you think you should give your situation a bit more thought?
Strenth is in numbers, no matter where you live those without will be coming to take what you have.
Including your neighbors who didn't prepare or who didn't prepare good enough.
But your right it is the safest place to be now if there is a safe place. Just not alone,imo.
I would hope for a community type set up but then good people don't stick together like thugs and criminals do. what to do really. You just described us but I don't feel all that safe either.