Do you have early warning indicators, that you monitor...??

[Sourdough]

I don't have any securities (Stocks or Bonds), but I go to indexes throughout the day (and night) as an early warning of any problem. Even when "markets" in America are closed, there are other markets open. So, I will generally check European Markets several hours before NYSE opens.

Again, it is "NOT" about money, but markets also react instantly to political news/events. If a market or several markets are down, I want to know why........what triggered that move.

 

[Sourdough]

Alaska WEATHER warnings would be next. Then Alaska news, generally there is little or no Alaska news. Then National News, then world news.

 

[Mountain trapper]

I check the PM markets multiple times a day, especially now that I have Skylink. I've checked the markets for probably the last 30+ years, plus the news looking for trends. The only time the news ever lead me to a BUY was for gold and defense company stocks on 9/11. Since I turned over all (almost) of my investment accounts to an investment manager about 10 years ago, I don't pay that much attention any more, other than for curiosity. They've managed to keep my investments earning up to 30+% per year. Now that silver is under $30 I've started buying silver again. Been buying for the grandkids too.

 

[Neb]

Dollar vs quiwiti dinar gives an inverse daily indicator for gold (up is gold down in dollars)


https://www.google.com/search?q=dol...RgAiAYB&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-serp#cobssid=s

Powell's remarks after fed meeting hint at market moves.

Ben

 

[Mountain trapper]

I also like watching the gold/silver ratio to look for trends.

 

[M0del_31]

Next town over about 30 miles has a amateur radio club with a good repeater and some club members do the skywarn thing as well so I hear all about the bad weather running through there. Most of the bad weather hits them first so it works out.

 

[Supervisor42]

I don't have any securities (Stocks or Bonds), but I go to indexes throughout the day (and night) as an early warning of any problem. Even when "markets" in America are closed, there are other markets open. So, I will generally check European Markets several hours before NYSE opens.

Again, it is "NOT" about money, but markets also react instantly to political news/events. If a market or several markets are down, I want to know why........what triggered that move.

I watch the stock markets, all day, every weekday.
I can't say it is my 'job' because i don't work nomore, so I call it my hobby.
If one of them even burps, I hear it first.
The only bad thing is, I post too often about them.

 

[Mountain trapper]

Next town over about 30 miles has a amateur radio club with a good repeater and some club members do the skywarn thing as well so I hear all about the bad weather running through there. Most of the bad weather hits them first so it works out.

Our early warning system for the weather is to look at the mountain range to the west. If we see snow coming over the top of the ridge, we have 10 to 15 minutes before it hits us. It's surprisingly accurate.

 

[Supervisor42]

Our early warning system for the weather is to look at the mountain range to the west. If we see snow coming over the top of the ridge, we have 10 to 15 minutes before it hits us. It's surprisingly accurate.

I forgot about weather...
Nothing is as accurate as our DirectTV satellite dish!
It stops working 15 minutes before we get dumped on, and it has never been wrong!

 

[Sourdough]

I want to be DOUBLE CLEAR here. I have no TV or Radio.
But if first thing I check might be the S&P 500 or DJIA. If they are down a bunch that means nothing to me financially, but it likely means some world event. Like an American Navy Destroyer was sunk, or an Aircraft Carrier was attacked or sunk. We are going to war. Or someone accidently lit off an ICBM.

 

[Haertig]

For the investor (long term), I see no compelling reason to check the markets daily, unless you want to do a lot of hootin' and hollerin' followed by wailin' and cryin' as your investments go up and down. If you are reacting in panic or on impulse and buying/selling stuff because of daily swings you're not really an investor. And you're not really a Day Trader either. You're probably just someone who loses a lot of their money fairly routinely.

When you are actively Day Trading, you definitely keep an eye on things. The general market ups and downs are of some use. But you mostly look in great detail at specific securities to identify trades that you want to get into. And to set your entry and exit points. You are often using graphs by hour and even by 5 minutes. But you have to look at longer time periods too. You can over check things with Day Trading and that can get you into trouble. I think the better strategy is to identify your targets and set entry and exit points early in your Trading Day (which may be in the middle of the night) and then walk away. Come back at the end of your Trading Day (which may be in the morning). You tend to get greedy if you are actively watching your trades continuously. The inclination is to mess with your exit points and bump your stoppers around trying to wait for or squeeze out a tad more profit. And you often end up missing an entry or getting stopped out rather than making money if you had been just a little less greedy.

 

[Mountain trapper]

For the investor (long term), I see no compelling reason to check the markets daily, unless you want to do a lot of hootin' and hollerin' followed by wailin' and cryin' as your investments go up and down. If you are reacting in panic or on impulse and buying/selling stuff because of daily swings you're not really an investor. And you're not really a Day Trader either. You're probably just someone who loses a lot of their money fairly routinely.

When you are actively Day Trading, you definitely keep an eye on things. The general market ups and downs are of some use. But you mostly look in great detail at specific securities to identify trades that you want to get into. And to set your entry and exit points. You are often using graphs by hour and even by 5 minutes. But you have to look at longer time periods too. You can over check things with Day Trading and that can get you into trouble. I think the better strategy is to identify your targets and set entry and exit points early in your Trading Day (which may be in the middle of the night) and then walk away. Come back at the end of your Trading Day (which may be in the morning). You tend to get greedy if you are actively watching your trades continuously. The inclination is to mess with your exit points and bump your stoppers around trying to wait for or squeeze out a tad more profit. And you often end up missing an entry or getting stopped out rather than making money if you had been just a little less greedy.

Just checking the markets daily doesn't mean acting on the swings. You seem to make a lot of unfounded assumptions here. I invest for the long term. Of course the markets go up and down. I'm very pleased with the performance of my portfolio. When I first started investing in stocks 30+ years ago I made some mistakes and bought shares that I shouldn't have and lost money, but that's all part of learning. In reality, stocks go up and down, you only lose if to sell your shares on a down market. That's a mistake that I haven't made in many years. One thing that I've learned is, the stock market will always go up, eventually. Sometimes it may take a few years, but it will go up again. I may check the metal markets and the DOW daily out of curiosity, but not my individual shares. I get a quarterly report on my stocks, which contains at least 30 pages, I only look at bottom line on the last page.

 

[Supervisor42]

For the investor (long term), I see no compelling reason to check the markets daily, unless you want to do a lot of hootin' and hollerin' followed by wailin' and cryin' as your investments go up and down.

If the "20% Off" sign flashes for just one day, due to overreaction to an unfounded panic, I don't want to miss out...
This buzzard never sleeps.

 

[Sourdough]

For the investor (long term), I see no compelling reason to check the markets daily, unless you want to do a lot of hootin' and hollerin' followed by wailin' and cryin' as your investments go up and down. If you are reacting in panic or on impulse and buying/selling stuff because of daily swings you're not really an investor. And you're not really a Day Trader either. You're probably just someone who loses a lot of their money fairly routinely.

I must learn to accept that some have reading comprehension issues. I'll PRAY for them.

Even though I posted it four times in this thread already. I Currently and never ever will own any Stocks or bonds or options.

I visit the securities indexes, because it is the single fastest reactor to negative events any place on earth.

Most places have night school classes.

 

[Sourdough]

The subject of this thread is.........What tools do you use as an early warning that a poopy event has occurred on planet earth that maybe could affect you and your loved-ones.

 

[montanabill]

For trends I check the Baltic dry index. And when he is around there is a unassuming guy who has a horse ranch nearby and does major construction all over the world who also eats breakfast at the local bar restaurant, a chat with him is interesting.....He works on things like embassy's and other stuff he doesn't name.
For nuclear superpower trouble I watch the sky to the north to see if the silos have launched......
If the 600,000 cycle is winding down I keep an eye out to the south to see if yellowstone is doing it's thing. \

This is just a example of the baltic historicaly.

1. • Brent
     
     Brent decreased 3.27 USD/BBL or 4.24% since the beginning of...
   • Steel
     
     Steel decreased 659 Yuan/MT or 16.78% since the beginning of...
   • Natural Gas
     
     Natural gas increased 1.08 USD/MMBtu or 46.55% since the...
   • Crude Oil
     
     Crude Oil decreased 1.43 USD/BBL or 2.00% since the...
   • Wheat
     
     Wheat decreased 80.74 USd/BU or 12.86% since the beginning...
   • Copper
     
     Copper increased 0.19 USd/LB or 4.81% since the beginning of...
   • Gasoline
     
     Gasoline decreased 0.18 USD/GAL or 8.32% since the beginning...
   • Coal
     
     Coal decreased 21.40 USD/MT or 14.62% since the beginning of...
   • Iron Ore
     
     Iron Ore decreased 32.29 USD/MT or 23.68% since the...
   • S&P GSCI
     
     GSCI increased 15.39 points or 2.92% since the beginning of...

2. Videos​

 

[Haertig]

I must learn to accept that some have reading comprehension issues. I'll PRAY for them.

Even though I posted it four times in this thread already. I Currently and never ever will own any Stocks or bonds or options.

You thought that post was directed to you personally? It wasn't. I can understand why you don't own any securities, and I agree with you - it would be a bad place for you to venture.

 

[Supervisor42]

You thought that post was directed to you personally? It wasn't. I can understand why you don't own any securities, and I agree with you - it would be a bad place for you to venture.

We are supposed to just sit quietly and sip our cup of 'shut up-juice'.
I'll take another shot at answering the 'impossible' question...
Since our MSM is worthless for news today, I get my take from Sky-News in Australia, and Aljazeera in the middle east.
They have been quicker with real facts than others.

 

[Hardcalibres]

........... I can understand why you don't own any securities, and I agree with you - it would be a bad place for you to venture.

I can understand why you don't live some where that would be survivable in a very severe crisis, and I agree with you - it would be a bad place for you to venture.

......see how easy that was?

 

[Hardcalibres]

We are supposed to just sit quietly and sip our cup of 'shut up-juice'.

No....you are supposed to take note of the forum and subforum and read the OP carefully so you don't reply in a completely wrong context.

That is just good online manners.

 

[Magus]

I used to listen to the news on Satellite and SWR, Now I just kind of look at the headlies and plan accordingly.
With the state of news media, CGI/AI movies, and the great interest the almighty "THEY" have in lying to us, I don't believe a damn thing until I see it, and then I'm going to give it a kick to see what falls off.

There is no new normal because there is no more normal. Until I can see it, eat it, smoke it, or roll around in bed with it, it's likely BS! But this in itself is "Early Warning."

 

[SLADE]

I watch the super market.

 

[Proud Prepper]

yeah, I watch what Nancy Palosie buys and sells.

it's a great return.

 

[old tex]

I follow the markets & our investments daily & track them as a hobby. Every now & then I will change something because of something that I've thought long & hard about but that's rare. In the last 2 weeks or so our investments have tanked a lot & today looks like another big drop. I think we have lost something like $80,000, which is actually good (I think). In a few days I have to set up a withdrawal schedule on my retirement account & what you have to draw out is determined by how much you have divided by a certain number of years. I'd actually like it to be the smallest amount per year possible because we don't need the money. A low number now means lower withdrawals & possible higher gains in the future.

As for timing the market I've tried it & suck at it. So I think long & hard before changing anything.

 

[Haertig]

I can understand why you don't live some where that would be survivable in a very severe crisis, and I agree with you - it would be a bad place for you to venture.

......see how easy that was?

I realize you thought you were being clever, but you were accidentally correct.

 

[Hardcalibres]

To look forwards, you need to look back.

I am a student of history. I look for echoes of past events in current news.

The last few years has seen some really clear echoes from the 1930s.

This is the first episode of the BBC's World at War documentaries made back in the 1970s.

It is very much worth watching......try to spot the echoes that we hear today.



To understand the present, one must first understand the past.

 

[elkhound]

To look forwards, you need to look back.

I am a student of history. I look for echoes of past events in current news.

The last few years has seen some really clear echoes from the 1930s.

This is the first episode of the BBC's World at War documentaries made back in the 1970s.

It is very much worth watching......try to spot the echoes that we hear today.



To understand the present, one must first understand the past.

i grew up sitting at the kitchen table with the men that were there...spent lots of times with them in forests hunting and fishing...now they are no more....their memories only live in my brain now.

 

[LadyLocust]

The subject of this thread is.........What tools do you use as an early warning that a poopy event has occurred on planet earth that maybe could affect you and your loved-ones.

This might not help you but my neck gets tight. I don’t realize it at first but then when I can’t move my neck, I have to stop and figure out what’s up. I’m getting better at recognizing it early but it’s kinda that innate feeling. It happens with personal stresses and with outside/societal “events.”

 

[Sourdough]

To look forwards, you need to look back.

I am a student of history. I look for echoes of past events in current news.

The last few years has seen some really clear echoes from the 1930s.

This is the first episode of the BBC's World at War documentaries made back in the 1970s.

It is very much worth watching......try to spot the echoes that we hear today.



To understand the present, one must first understand the past.

WOW..........That was hard to watch. Glad that I did watch the whole thing, but it was not easy.

 

[Hardcalibres]

WOW..........That was hard to watch. Glad that I did watch the whole thing, but it was not easy.

There were/are 26 episodes in the series.

Being made back in the 1970s, the producers had a strong commitment to historical accuracy and making sure that the war was depicted in all it's brutality.

As you saw, they showed plenty of dead bodies.......people being burned to death........people who had been blown apart.

The other key strength of the series, was their access to interview key players while they were still alive.

All preppers/survivalists should watch it all.

You can buy the series on DVD.

When the series came out, UK teachers were encouraged to show it to high school students.

They wouldn't do that now........